Elise Column Floor Lamp

November 01, 2022

The Left-Right Divide Might Help Democrats Avoid A Total Wipeout

In a 2021 article, “The 2020 Presidential and Congressional Elections: A National Referendum on the Trump Presidency,” Gary Jacobson, a political scientist at the University of California, San Diego, described how the Trump administration and its campaign to 2020, reacting to the Black Lives Matter protests, set the stage for the 2022 midterms:

Trump doubled down on his racist rhetoric, posing as the defender of the Confederate flag and statues of rebel generals erected as markers of white rule in the post-Reconstruction South, retweeting a video of a supporter shouting 'white power' at protesters in Florida, and promising to protect suburbanites from public housing that could attract minorities to their neighborhoods. The headline and display copy of my colleague Jonathan Weisman's Oct. 25 campaign article sums up the party's current strategy:

'With ads, images and words, Republicans are injecting race into the campaigns': Running ads depicting black candidates as lenient on crime – or as 'different' or 'dangerous' – Republicans dropped defenses Silent of these tactics for a shameless challenge. Midterm Election: Conventional Referendum or Something Different? Jacobson writes:

Statistical models using as predictors the president's most recent job approval ratings and real income growth during the election year, as well as the president's current party strength in Congress, can explain seat fluctuations. mid-term with considerable accuracy. For example, applying such a model to 2018, when President Donald Trump's approval was 40% and real income growth was 2.1%, Republicans should have ended up with 41 fewer seats in the Chamber than they held after the 2016 election – improbably, the precise result. Applying the same models to current competitions, continues Jacobson,

Democrats stand to lose about 45 House seats, giving Republicans a majority of 258 to 177, their largest since the 1920s. No wonder then, writes Jacobson, that “the consensus expectation at the start of the year was an electoral tsunami that would give Republicans solid control of both chambers." Today, however, "this consensus no longer prevails".

Why? Jacobson points out that looking ahead to the current midterms, there is an “unusually wide gap between presidential approval and voting intentions, with Democratic support averaging 9.2 percentage points higher than approval ratings. of Biden”. He also notes that in previous electoral waves, the gap between presidential approval and voting intention was much narrower, 5 points in 1994, 4.9 in 2006, 0.3 in 2010 and 4.1 in 2018.

Elise Floor Lamp

A 1986 graduate of the University of Cincinnati's renowned industrial design program, Pablo's extensive experience in design and architecture has allowed him to design products in multiple disciplines in the same studio. He has established long-lasting collaborations with designers who share his studio's vision, believing that diverse ideas and perspectives inform a higher sense of purpose. Pardo attributes his early passion for design to his upbringing, which he spent surrounded by a family of artists and engineers.

Elise Marble Floor Lamp

elise marble floor lamp

Marble base, polycarbonate diffuser

Made in the USA by Pablo Designs

Elise is a conceptual tribute to the age of the machine: refined, sober and honest in its function as a light source. Celebrating the most classic of industrial shapes, the cylinder, two elements make up the lamp: a refined marble base conceals the light source, providing ample ballast, while its imposing frosted acrylic diffuser becomes a beacon of light. Elise's refined marble base, in Carrara white or Marquina black, supports an imposing frosted white diffuser, creating the ultimate combination for elegant lighting. | cord: 6'L

includes halogen bulb 3000K E26 60W PAR30 NSP: 1090 lumens | UL approved components

Elise 80: 80" h | 5" dia. | cord: 6'L

includes halogen bulb 3000K E26 70W PAR38 DK: 1380 lumens | UL approved components

$495.00 + free shipping

(usually ships within 5-7 days)